1 Reply Latest reply on Dec 4, 2014 9:33 PM by Kate Ciurej

    Any baseball fans here? Play-by-play World Series Probability Chart

    JD Mathewson

      Any baseball fans here?

       

      The viz is nothing too complicated, just combined some of my own calculations with those at FanGraphs.com to produce a chart that showed both the San Francisco Giants' and Kansas City Royals' chances of winning the World Series following each individual play. The chart is featured on my blog.

       

      Based on that data, I identified the Royals high water mark, the series turning point, how much each team improved or declined with each pitcher on the mound and batter at bat, sussed out which were the biggest plays of the series, and determined which innings were the most volatile.